Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Plunges to Near Record Lows as Cost-of-Living Pressures Intensify

Consumer confidence in Australia has plunged to near record lows in June 2026, with the Westpac–Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index dropping 2.9 percent to 80.6, reflecting deep pessimism among households grappling with intensifying cost-of-living pressures and growing economic uncertainty [citation:12]. The June reading represents one of the weakest results in the index’s nearly 50-year history, with pessimists outnumbering optimists by a significant margin as households report increased pressure on their finances and growing concern about the year ahead [citation:12]. Westpac Head of Australian Macro-Forecasting Matthew Hassan has described the result as reflecting deep pessimism, noting that cost-of-living issues came back with a vengeance in June following sharp declines in how consumers assess both their current finances and their outlook for the next 12 months [citation:12]. The sub-index tracking family finances compared to a year ago fell 7.5 percent, while expectations for finances over the next year dropped 8.5 percent, reversing much of the improvement seen in May and indicating that temporary relief measures such as the halving of the fuel excise have had only short-lived impacts [citation:12]. The survey’s forward-looking components highlight a cautious outlook among consumers, with readings on expectations for family finances now well below long-run averages, suggesting households are clearly bracing for more bad news on the financial front [citation:12]. Historically, Australians tend to be moderately optimistic about their financial prospects, making the current readings among some of the weakest seen over decades particularly concerning [citation:12]. While views on personal finances deteriorated significantly, sentiment around the broader economy was more mixed, with near-term concerns easing slightly but expectations over the medium term falling to a three-year low [citation:12]. Unemployment expectations remained at moderately elevated levels, suggesting ongoing concern about job security even if conditions have not worsened materially in recent months [citation:12]. The survey also points to changing attitudes towards housing and spending, with sentiment around buying a home described as less bleak but expectations for house prices dropping sharply, potentially reflecting growing uncertainty following recently announced tax changes [citation:12]. Attitudes towards major household purchases showed mixed results, indicating that while some consumers may still be spending, caution remains a key theme [citation:12]. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index is based on five components that capture how households feel about their finances now and in the future, as well as their views on the broader economy and whether it is a good time to make major purchases [citation:12]. Together, these measures provide a snapshot of how Australians are navigating challenging economic conditions, and for now, the picture remains subdued [citation:12]. The consumer sentiment data carries significant implications for Melbourne’s retail sector and broader economy, as consumer confidence is a key driver of spending patterns that influence business investment, employment, and economic growth. As Melbourne households continue to face cost-of-living pressures and economic uncertainty, retailers and service providers may need to adapt their offerings and pricing strategies to maintain customer engagement and support the city’s economic recovery.

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